Over 983 Games, CrystlQuant Named More Winners Than the Market
The market's price is the best forecaster in sports, and almost nobody beats it for long. Over the same 983 games, CrystlQuant named 632 winners to the market's 629. Here is where the three games come from, and why we keep the one sport where we trail.
Over the same 983 games, CrystlQuant named 632 winners. The market named 629. We beat it by three, counted on our public record page on 4 November 2026.
Three games does not sound like much until you know who we were up against.
The best forecaster in sports
The market's price on a game is the most accurate forecast there is. Thousands of people with real money on the line set it. It moves the moment an injury is reported, a lineup leaks or the weather turns. By kick-off it has absorbed nearly everything anyone knows about the game.
That is why almost nobody beats it for long. Pundits do not. Most models do not. Over hundreds of games the market's favourite wins so reliably that simply matching it is a respectable result. Finishing ahead of it is the hardest thing a forecaster can do.
We finished ahead
This is the like-for-like table: the same games, both sides naming a winner, nothing left out.
| Sport | Games | CrystlQuant right | Market favourite right | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 89 | 55 | 55 | 0 |
| NBA | 107 | 74 | 73 | +1 |
| NHL | 235 | 144 | 141 | +3 |
| College football | 333 | 239 | 242 | -3 |
| MLB | 129 | 76 | 76 | 0 |
| Premier League | 90 | 44 | 42 | +2 |
| Total | 983 | 632 | 629 | +3 |
Ahead in three sports, level in two, behind in one. Ahead overall.
Where the three games come from
Most of the time CrystlQuant and the market back the same team. On those games we are both right or both wrong together, so they cancel out. Every game of the difference comes from the nights we went the other way.
So the +3 says something simple: when CrystlQuant disagreed with the best forecaster in sports, CrystlQuant was right more often.
No trimming needed
632 to 629 is 64.3% against 64.0%, over nearly a thousand games, with every call published before kick-off and never touched afterwards. The market won the college football row by three. That row stays in the table, and we are still ahead with it in. We don't need to cut a single sport to lead.
Most forecasters never post this table, because it would show them behind. We post it every day, and we are in front.
Why that matters for the business
CrystlQuant is free and carries ads, so the only reason anyone comes back is that what we said last week holds up. A graded record is the one asset in this business that cannot be faked or copied: a site starting today cannot backdate 983 games. Every week we publish, the lead either grows or it doesn't, and either way it is there for anyone to check.
The full table, sport by sport and updated after every result, is on CrystlQuant's public record.